China’s
Dominance in Battery Manufacturing
With the world gearing up
for the electric vehicle era, battery manufacturing has become a priority for
many nations, including the United States.
However, having entered the
race for batteries early, China is far and away in the lead.
Using the data and
projections behind BloombergNEF’s lithium-ion
supply chain rankings, this infographic visualizes battery
manufacturing capacity by country in 2022 and 2027p, highlighting the extent of
China’s battery dominance.
Battery Manufacturing Capacity by Country in
2022
In 2022, China had more
battery production capacity than the rest of the world combined.
Rank |
Country |
2022
Battery Cell Manufacturing Capacity, GWh |
% of Total |
#1 |
China |
893 |
77% |
#2 |
Poland |
73 |
6% |
#3 |
U.S. |
70 |
6% |
#4 |
Hungary |
38 |
3% |
#5 |
Germany |
31 |
3% |
#6 |
Sweden |
16 |
1% |
#7 |
South
Korea |
15 |
1% |
#8 |
Japan |
12 |
1% |
#9 |
France |
6 |
1% |
#10 |
India |
3 |
0.2% |
|
Other |
7 |
1% |
|
Total |
1,163 |
100% |
With nearly 900 gigawatt-hours of manufacturing capacity or 77% of
the global total, China is home to six of the world’s 10 biggest
battery makers. Behind China’s battery dominance is its
vertical integration across the rest of the EV supply chain, from mining the
metals to producing the EVs. It’s also the largest
EV market, accounting for 52% of global sales in 2021.
Poland ranks second with
less than one-tenth of China’s capacity. In addition, it hosts LG Energy
Solution’s Wroclaw gigafactory, the largest of its
kind in Europe and one of the largest in the world. Overall, European countries
(including non-EU members) made up just 14% of global battery manufacturing
capacity in 2022.
Although it lives in China’s
shadow when it comes to batteries, the U.S. is also among the world’s lithium-ion
powerhouses. As of 2022, it had eight major operational battery factories,
concentrated in the Midwest and the South.
China’s
Near-Monopoly Continues Through 2027
Global lithium-ion
manufacturing capacity is projected to increase eightfold in the next five
years. Here are the top 10 countries by projected battery production capacity
in 2027:
Rank |
Country |
2027P
Battery Cell Manufacturing Capacity, GWh |
% of Total |
#1 |
China |
6,197 |
69% |
#2 |
U.S. |
908 |
10% |
#3 |
Germany |
503 |
6% |
#4 |
Hungary |
194 |
2% |
#5 |
Sweden |
135 |
2% |
#6 |
Poland |
112 |
1% |
#7 |
Canada |
106 |
1% |
#8 |
Spain |
98 |
1% |
#9 |
France |
89 |
1% |
#10 |
Mexico |
80 |
1% |
|
Other |
523 |
6% |
|
Total |
8,945 |
100% |
China’s well-established advantage is set to continue through 2027,
with 69% of the world’s battery manufacturing capacity.
Meanwhile, the U.S. is
projected to increase its capacity by more than 10-fold in the next five years.
EV tax credits in the Inflation Reduction Act are likely to incentivize battery
manufacturing by rewarding EVs made with domestic materials. Alongside Ford and
General Motors, Asian companies including Toyota, SK Innovation, and LG Energy
Solution have all announced
investments in U.S. battery manufacturing in recent
months.
Europe will host six of the
projected top 10 countries for battery production in 2027. Europe’s current and
future battery plants come from a mix of domestic and foreign firms, including
Germany’s Volkswagen, China’s CATL, and South Korea’s SK Innovation.
Can
Countries Cut Ties With China?
Regardless of the growth in
North America and Europe, China’s dominance is unmatched.
Battery manufacturing is
just one piece of the puzzle, albeit a major one. Most of the parts and metals
that make
up a battery—like battery-grade lithium, electrolytes,
separators, cathodes, and anodes—are primarily made in China.
Therefore, combating China’s
dominance will be expensive. According to Bloomberg,
the U.S. and Europe will have to invest $87 billion and $102 billion,
respectively, to meet domestic battery demand with fully local supply chains by
2030.