China
Teams up with Uzbekistan and Kazakhstan in Russia’s Backyard in Anti US Show
Xi
Jinping talked of closer economic and security ties in a summit with the
leaders of Central Asia’s five former Soviet states
Xi Jinping used a summit with
the heads of five Central Asian nations to show off China’s growing stature in a
region where Russia has long held sway, calling for deeper economic ties and warning
against interference from outsiders, in an apparent warning to Washington.
“The world needs a prosperous
Central Asia,” Xi said Friday, toward the end of a two-day summit in the Chinese
city of Xi’an with counterparts from Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan
and Uzbekistan—former Soviet republics with which Beijing has steadily cultivated
ties since they became independent nations in the early 1990s.
The Chinese leader, who outlined
plans to increase trade in the region while “resolutely opposing external forces
interfering in our internal affairs,” spoke as Beijing deepens its diplomatic activity
across Eurasia. This week, China sent a special envoy, Li Hui, to meet with officials
in Kyiv, Warsaw, Paris, Berlin and Moscow, as part of Beijing’s first significant
effort to push for a negotiated settlement to Moscow’s war in Ukraine.
China’s Central Asia summit offered
a contrast with the Group of Seven summit in Japan, where the U.S. and its allies
are expected to discuss what critics call Beijing’s “economic coercion” of other
countries. China this week described the U.S. as the world’s biggest culprit in
using its economic strength to impose its will.
Xi has expanded China’s
diplomacy in part to counter what he sees as U.S.-led efforts to isolate the country.
Xi has made Central Asia a part of that push. Last year, for his first overseas
trip after nearly three years at home throughout the Covid-19 pandemic, Xi traveled to Uzbekistan and Kazakhstan.
A decade ago, it was in Kazakhstan that Xi launched what became the Belt and
Road Initiative, a trillion-dollar global infrastructure development program.
This week’s summit was replete
with symbolism pointing to longstanding economic ties between China and the region.
The gathering was held in the western Chinese city of Xi’an, which was once China’s
imperial capital and which has long been considered the eastern endpoint of the
ancient Silk Road trade route.
While China’s combined annual
trade with the five Central Asian countries is still small when compared with bilateral
trade with China’s wealthier neighbors to the east, it
climbed by 40% last year to $70.2 billion, according to statistics from China’s
General Administration of Customs. China has looked to Central Asia for energy supplies
and raw materials as it sells them manufactured goods, particularly electronics.
In addition to trade, Xi emphasized China’s security interests in the region, a nod
to its long-term concerns about political instability and threats from extremism.
“Many think there’s a division
of labor in Central Asia, and that Russia is responsible
for security and China is responsible for the economy, but that’s not the truth,”
said Temur Umarov, a fellow at the Carnegie Russia Eurasia Center.
“In the ‘90s, China came to Central Asia with a priority interest in security.”
That interest has grown more
apparent with the presence of Chinese border guards in Tajikistan and training exercises
with other countries in the region.
To Russia, China’s rising ambitions
in Central Asia aren’t necessarily a surprise, given the growing might of the world’s
second-largest economy. In Moscow, “they’ve basically accepted there’s a level of
competition they can’t offer,” said Raffaello Pantucci, a senior fellow at the S. Rajaratnam School of International
Studies in Singapore. Many of the Central Asian nations, in turn, “want to have
other options…It’s interesting how much they are openly trying to court China.”
While China’s influence in the
region has increased, Russia has by no means disappeared—and analysts have warned
against seeing Beijing as trying to undermine Moscow. As Russia faces isolation
and sanctions from the West over its invasion of Ukraine last year, the Kremlin
has sought to deepen ties in Central Asia, which it has long regarded as being within
its traditional sphere of influence.
Over the past year, Russian President
Vladimir Putin has traveled to each of the five nations
whose leaders came to China this week. Earlier this month, those same five Central
Asian leaders traveled to Moscow for a Red Square parade
marking the anniversary of the Soviet Union’s victory over Nazi Germany.
When Xi
visited Moscow in March, the joint statement that the two men signed pledged to
strengthen coordination in Central Asia to help countries “safeguard their sovereignty,
ensure national development and oppose external forces.”
In a sign of ongoing high-level
communication between Moscow and Beijing, the Kremlin said on Friday that Russian
Prime Minister Mikhail Mishustin will visit China May
23-24. He is expected to meet Xi and Li Qiang, China’s
premier.
Umarov said that Beijing doesn’t
want to create friction with Moscow in Central Asia because it cares more about
its relations with Moscow than its priorities in Central Asia. “There is much more
cooperation between Moscow and Beijing in Central Asia than we can imagine.”
There are limits to both countries’
influence in the region. None of the former Soviet states in Central Asia have endorsed
Putin’s invasion. And suspicion of China has grown in some parts of the region.
Activists in Kazakhstan have
protested against Chinese factories, agricultural projects and the detention of
ethnic Kazakhs, Uyghurs and other ethnic groups in China’s tightening of control
in the Xinjiang region.
The Kazakh government dropped
plans to sell land to China in response to protests in 2016 and has silenced some
activists critical of Beijing’s policies in Xinjiang. But it has moved ahead with
growing ties, including an agreement for 30-day bilateral exemptions on visas for
travel between the two countries, one of more than 20 agreements between the two
countries signed this week.
Some infrastructure projects
in the region are expected to receive boosts from this week’s summit in Xi’an, including
a rail link linking China to Uzbekistan through Kyrgyzstan. The project, considered
since the 1990s, has been long delayed over funding and other concerns. The Ukraine
war helped revive interest in the connection as trade partners look for transit
routes that bypass Russia and the risk of becoming entangled in Western sanctions.
Xi also called on Friday for
the acceleration of another long-discussed project, a gas pipeline from Turkmenistan
known as Line D, which would help meet China’s increasing energy demands along a
shorter route than three existing pipelines from Turkmenistan.