China’s Xi to Speak to Zelensky, Meet Next Week With Putin
Virtual meeting
between Chinese and Ukrainian leaders would be first since start of war
Chinese leader Xi Jinping plans
to speak with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky for the first time since the
start of the Ukraine war, likely after he visits Moscow next week to meet with Russian
President Vladimir Putin, according to people familiar with the matter.
The meetings with Messrs. Putin
and Zelensky, the latter of which is expected to take place virtually, reflect Beijing’s
effort to play a more active role in mediating an end to the war in Ukraine, some
of the people said.
Mr. Xi is considering visiting
other European countries as part of his trip to Russia, though his full itinerary
has yet to be confirmed, according to the people.
A direct conversation with Mr.
Zelensky, if it happens, would mark a significant step in Beijing’s efforts to play
peacemaker in Ukraine, which have so far been
met with skepticism in Europe. It
would also bolster Beijing’s credentials as a global power broker after it facilitated
a surprise diplomatic breakthrough
between Saudi Arabia and Iran last week.
Reuters earlier reported that
Mr. Xi’s Moscow visit could happen as early as next week. The Wall Street Journal
reported in February that
Mr. Xi was preparing to visit Moscow in the coming months.
The overseas trip would mark
Mr. Xi’s first after he secured an unprecedented third term
as China’s head of state. It comes as the 69-year-old leader seeks
to burnish his status as a global statesman and navigate escalating competition
with the U.S. and its allies.
China’s Foreign Ministry didn’t
immediately respond to a request for comment.
Mr. Xi’s travel schedule is intended
in part to capitalize on momentum from the Saudi-Iran deal, signed in Beijing, which
marked the end of seven years of estrangement, according
to some of the people. That agreement heralded a notable rise in China’s influence
in the Middle East, which had been previously dominated by the U.S. as the primary
power broker.
The bridge-building effort marked
the first time that Beijing has intervened so directly in the Mideast’s political
rivalries, and was its first time successfully brokering such a deal.
China’s last ambitious effort
to play the role of global peacemaker came in the early 2000s, when it launched
six-party talks aimed at curtailing North Korea’s nuclear weapons program in exchange
for aid. The talks, which included the U.S., failed in 2008 when North Korea withdrew
despite relying heavily on economic support from Beijing.
Achieving a breakthrough in Ukraine
would be a taller task than the Saudi-Iran deal, especially as both sides in the
war believe too much remains to be played out on the battlefield. Neither has shown
an inclination to stop fighting.
Beijing nevertheless has an active
interest in bringing an end to the conflict. The war has put Beijing in a precarious
situation, forcing Mr. Xi to balance China’s “no limits” partnership
with Russia and his own close relationship with
Mr. Putin against increasing distrust and
tension with the U.S. and its allies.
Last month, China cast itself
as a neutral mediator in calling for a cease-fire and peace talks to end the war
in Ukraine. In a 12-point
document, China’s Foreign Ministry called for the pursuit
of a political solution to the conflict and an end to unilateral
sanctions. It also appeared to warn Moscow against escalating the conflict with
nuclear weapons.
During an event last month marking
the first anniversary of the Russian invasion, Mr. Zelensky said he planned to meet
with Mr. Xi to discuss China’s ideas on ending the conflict in Ukraine. He also
expressed his hope that China wouldn’t supply weapons to Russia—a step the U.S.
said it believed Beijing has been considering but which China has denied.
Russia’s government said it shared
Beijing’s views of the conflict and welcomed China’s peace proposal.
The first item in China’s peace
plan, which calls for “respecting the sovereignty of all countries,” is a bedrock
of Beijing’s foreign policy. It is one that has been tested over the past year by
Russia’s invasion.
China officially regards Ukraine
as a sovereign nation, and Messrs. Xi and Zelensky had a
phone call to mark 30 years of relations between the two nations just
weeks before Russian troops attacked. Yet Beijing has refrained from condemning
Russian military action in Ukraine, which it has resisted defining as an invasion.
Mr. Xi isn’t known to have spoken
with Mr. Zelensky since the hostilities broke out, though the Chinese leader has
engaged with Mr. Putin several times through video calls and face-to-face meetings
since the war unfolded. That included a meeting in Uzbekistan in September in Mr.
Xi’s first international
trip since the pandemic.
China was Ukraine’s largest trading
partner before the war, importing almost 30%
of its corn from the Eastern European country. China has also invested
in infrastructure projects in Ukraine, though at least one of them—a rail line connecting
Kyiv’s main airport to the city center—was scrapped following corruption
allegations.
Trade between China and Ukraine
fell 60% in 2022 from a year earlier to $7.6 billion. Meanwhile, trade between Moscow
and Beijing rose by roughly 29% from a year earlier to $190 billion, according to
official Chinese data. As Russia’s sales of oil and gas to Europe have declined,
China has emerged as a significant buyer. Russia has also begun to increase its
use of China’s currency, the yuan.