Denmark Needs Immigration to Boost 1.5% Growth Rate
GDP growth could be stuck at 1.5% if
country can’t lure more engineers and science majors
Denmark is lagging behind its neighbors
when it comes to economic growth and it needs skilled foreigners to catch up.
The problem is that Denmark has transformed itself into not a
very welcoming place over the past decade with the region’s strictest
immigration laws.
That’s now putting its expansion at peril. The $350 billion
economy has been slower to recover from the global financial crisis than its
Scandinavian neighbors. The central bank also cut
growth forecasts last week amid declining consumer spending and exports.
One reason for the anemic revival
is a lack of immigration. The central bank now warns that in less than three
years there will be a labor shortage in all parts of
the economy. The total shortfall just in engineering and science-related jobs
will swell to more than 13,000 in 10 years, according to Denmark’s largest
industry lobby.
“The price, for example, of engineers will just keep going up
until jobs are filled”. “That will hurt competitiveness and curb growth and not
as many people will be hired.”
About 9 percent of Denmark’s
population of 5.7 million are immigrants. In Sweden about 16.5 percent of the population were foreign born and in Norway
they account for 12 percent.
The central bank painted an even grimmer picture last week
forecasting structural growth could be as low as 1 percent
a year without a labor force expansion.
To help remedy the looming crisis, companies including
Microsoft Corp. and Siemens AG have formed an alliance with the Confederation
of Danish Industry. It aims to fill jobs by encouraging students to study
engineering and science, and prioritizing research in technology.
Yet
Europe’s migration crisis shows just how little attraction Denmark has among
foreigners, in particular after the country placed ads in the Middle East
warning people off from coming.