Gold Prices Top $1,300 an Ounce
Gold exceeded $1,300 an ounce
for the first time since August on speculation slowing global growth will
prompt central banks to boost stimulus, spurring haven demand.
Investors are adding to
gold-backed funds at the fastest pace in three years. Open interest in New York
futures and options is at the highest in eight weeks, and money managers are
the most bullish since August. Silver also climbed on Wednesday in London in
its best start to a year in three decades.
After shunning gold for two
years, investors are returning to the metal amid concern U.S. growth won’t be
enough to offset weakness in foreign economies. Policy makers in Europe and
Asia are being challenged to come up with new ways to spur growth amid
prolonged below-target inflation. Bullion rose 70 percent
from December 2008 to June 2011 as the Federal Reserve pumped more than $2
trillion into the financial system.
Bullion for immediate delivery
climbed as much as 0.6 percent to $1,303.63 an ounce
and traded at $1,300.28 in London. Futures for February delivery on the Comex in New York gained 0.5 percent
to $1,300.50.
Prices jumped 4.7 percent in London last week, the most since 2013, as
investors sought safety from turmoil in currency markets after the Swiss
central bank unexpectedly abandoned the franc’s cap against the euro. The metal
climbed 9.8 percent this year. The International
Monetary Fund and the World Bank cut outlooks for global growth this month,
even as they upgraded estimates for American expansion.
While diverging monetary
policies have boosted the dollar, the slump in commodities and weakness in
foreign economies have raised speculation the Fed may hold off raising rates.
This can increase gold’s appeal as a store of value as the metal generally
gives investors returns only through price gains.
Goldman, SocGen
Analysts are split on the 2015
outlook. Goldman Sachs Group Inc. and Societe Generale SA expect the metal to fall, with the Paris-based
bank forecasting prices to reach $1,000 by Dec. 31, it said in a Jan. 14
report. Standard Chartered Plc expects the metal to
rally to $1,320 by the fourth quarter, it said Jan. 20.
Gold fell 1.4 percent last year after a 28 percent
loss in 2013, marking the first consecutive annual slide since 2000. A surge in
equities and an improving U.S. economy prompted some investors to lose faith in
the metal. The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index of shares is heading for a
second monthly drop, the longest slump since 2012.
The metal’s rally has taken
its 14-day relative-strength index above 70, signaling
to some traders and analysts who study charts that prices may be poised to
retreat.
Silver climbed as much as 1.9 percent to the highest since September and was last at
$18.213 an ounce. It’s up 16 percent so far this
month in the best start to a January since 1983. Platinum was little changed
and palladium rose 0.4 percent.