Imports Fall 3.9%, Electronics up 21% to $3.8bn, Pulses Double, Gold Triples

·     Exports in Dec Fall again by 14.8%, Textiles up 5%, Agri buoyant

S C Ralhan, President, Federation of Indian Export Organisations (FIEO) said that the decline of 14.75 percent as against the sharp decline of 24.43 percent during the month of November, 2015. Shows improvement, on the other hand, December exports of China have turned positive. Indian industry is becoming uncompetitive due to high domestic taxes and state control on energy sector prices.

Ralhan claims that commodities and crude oil prices have more than 40 percent bearing on India’s exports, this has further led to the continuous decline in exports.

FIEO President said that talking about the top major commodities traded, positive performance has been shown by half of the items out of 30 product groups in December, 2015 as against 7 out of 30 product groups in November, 2015.

Mr Ralhan urges the government for the immediate reconsideration of inverted duty structure to give a boost to Make in India, exemption of Service tax from exports, creation of Export Development Fund (EDF) with a corpus of 0.5 percent to 1 percent of total export value, exemption of Terminal Excise Duty (TED) on purchase of Capital Goods, provision of fiscal incentive to MSMEs for the motivation of aggressive export marketing and restoring benefits under SHIS to Status Holder exporters.

Besides issues like non-residents to be kept out of the ambit of section 206AA and Merchant exporters to be given Interest Equalization Benefits should also be looked into.

Besides Mr Ralhan reiterates that redressal of number of issues relating to infrastructure bottlenecks and transaction cost specially immediate introduction of Integrated Web Portal by CBEC for facilitating exports could provide much needed relief to the export sector even during such a difficult global economic scenario.

Exports & Imports: (US $ Million)

(Provisional)

 

December

April-December

Exports(including re-exports)

 

 

2014-15

26154.46

239928.91

2015-16

22297.48

196603.94

%Growth2015-16/ 2014-15

-14.75

-18.06

Imports

 

 

2014-15

35333.27

351613.95

2015-16

33961.48

295811.69

%Growth2015-16/ 2014-15

-3.88

-15.87

Trade Balance

 

 

2014-15

-9178.81

-111685.04

2015-16

-11664.00

-99207.75

Service Export and Import Down

The Reserve Bank releases monthly data on India’s international trade in services with a lag of around 45 days.

The value of exports and imports of services during the month of November 2015 are given in the following Table.

Table: International Trade in Services

(US$ Million)

Month

Receipts (Exports)

Payments (Imports)

October 2015

13,344

7,013

November 2015

12,019

5,686

Note: Data are provisional.

Monthly data on services are provisional and would undergo revision when the Balance of Payments (BoP) data are released on a quarterly basis.

LDCs Gain Market Share

Between July and December of 2015, months that India’s exports were slumping, Bangladesh in fact saw exports grow by eight per cent year-on-year. Vietnam saw exports grow 9.2 per cent in 2015.

The implications of the data for the trade deficit are also worrying. In December 2015, the trade deficit in dollar terms was 27 per cent higher than it was in December 2014. Cumulatively, however, the trade deficit for the first nine months of the current financial year was 11 per cent lower compared to that in the same period of 2014-15.

Gold demand is once again on the rise. The gold import bill for 2015 was estimated at being 12 per cent higher than for 2014. This is over and above the informal market which thrives on the 20% premium in domestic price compared to world price.

Quick Estimates for Selected Major Commodities for December, 2015

Trade: Import

SNo.

Commodities

(Values in Million USD)

% change

 

 

Dec’14

Dec’15

Dec’15

1

Cotton Raw & Waste

17.61

16.88

-4.15

2

Vegetable Oil

808.56

1083.22

33.97

3

Pulses

349.34

631.43

80.75

4

Fruits & vegetables

157.40

166.15

5.56

5

Pulp and Waste paper

97.08

88.69

-8.64

6

Textile yarn Fabric, made-up articles

131.36

143.21

9.02

7

Fertilisers, Crude & manufactured

770.45

613.37

-20.39

8

Sulphur & Unroasted Iron Pyrites

17.23

27.89

61.87

9

Metaliferrous ores & other minerals

740.88

575.04

-22.38

10

Coal, Coke & Briquettes, etc.

1463.50

952.68

-34.90

11

Petroleum, Crude & products

9963.44

6656.74

-33.19

12

Wood & Wood products

433.66

447.53

3.20

13

Leather & leather products

85.83

86.52

0.80

14

Organic & Inorganic Chemicals

1356.49

1285.68

-5.22

15

Dyeing/tanning/colouring materials.

179.89

184.29

2.45

16

Artificial resins, plastic materials, etc.

882.40

968.15

9.72

17

Chemical material & products

447.43

412.08

-7.90

18

Newsprint

66.96

67.10

0.21

19

Pearls, precious & Semi-precious stones

1935.97

1972.26

1.87

20

Iron & Steel

1669.62

1323.26

-20.74

21

Non-ferrous metals

887.94

839.17

-5.49

22

Machine tools

242.78

271.40

11.79

23

Machinery, electrical & non-electrical

2526.23

2498.11

-1.11

24

Transport equipment

2458.02

1503.89

-38.82

25

Project goods

311.97

221.22

-29.09

26

Professional instrument, Optical goods, etc.

332.55

353.63

6.34

27

Electronic goods

3154.13

3816.98

21.02

28

Medicinal & Pharmaceutical products

490.82

501.20

2.11

29

Gold

1364.03

3806.29

179.05

30

Silver

182.30

472.03

158.93

 

Sub-Total

33525.87

31986.09

-4.59

 

Grand Total

35333.27

33961.48

-3.88

Note: The figures for December’14 and December’15 are provisional and subject to change.