Indonesia’s
Central Bank Revives Plan to Cut Three Zeroes from Rupiah
Indonesia’s
central bank is reviving a plan to redenominate the currency of Southeast
Asia’s biggest economy despite the threat of market turmoil as the U.S. steps
up the pace of interest-rate increases.
“Re-denomination must be done while the economy is
stable,” Bank Indonesia Senior Deputy Governor Mirza Adityaswara told reporters in Jakarta on Monday. “Now, at
this moment, it can be done. The exchange rate has been turbulent but it won’t
have too much of an impact. The main thing is that the economy must be stable.”
The rupiah is one of the highest denominated notes in
Asia, and Bank Indonesia has proposed cutting three zeroes from the currency to
simplify payments. A similar plan mooted four years ago was abandoned amid the
taper tantrum, when the Federal Reserve announced it was withdrawing stimulus,
triggering a rout in emerging-market assets, including a sell-off in the
rupiah.
Financial markets were rattled again in the immediate
aftermath of Donald Trump’s surprise victory last month in the U.S.
presidential election, with the rupiah one of the hardest hit currencies,
sinking to a two-month low on Nov. 9 when Trump was declared the winner. The
currency has rebounded 1.3 percent against the dollar this month to reach
13,383 as of 2:30 p.m. on Monday.
“The economy and the rupiah have held up pretty well
actually under the Trump tantrum,” said Tim Condon, head of Asian research at
ING Groep NV in Singapore. With the government having
removed fuel subsidies, “there really is no good reason to see a spike in
inflation and the currency as we’ve seen in the past.”
The
central bank said the introduction of new units of currency would not reduce
purchasing power nor prompt currency volatility and it should have a minimal
impact on prices. The bank has kept inflation under 5 percent for more than a
year.
“Re-denomination
is a matter of simplification,” said Adityaswara.
Indonesian President Joko Widodo said at the same event that he wanted Parliament to
consider the plan to re-denominate the currency next year.
Indonesia
is seeking a lengthy transition period to adopt any change, with Widodo proposing seven years for the re-denomination. That
may help to avoid disruption to consumers from currency adjustments, as
happened recently in India and Venezuela.
“It
could prove costly if we do it in an abrupt way, so we need a transition period
for the banking sector and financial system,” said David Sumual,
chief economist at PT Bank Central Asia in Jakarta. “The precondition for this
kind of policy is that the economic situation should be stable, meaning that
inflation should be stable and the currency also in a stable situation.”