Oil Rises again, Euro will Survive

Oil rose from the highest close in almost a week in New York after the head of the European Central Bank predicted the euro will survive and reports signaled improving economic prospects in the U.S. and China.

Futures were up as much as 0.3 percent after climbing for a third day on 26 July. ECB President Mario Draghi said policy makers will do whatever is needed to preserve the European common currency. U.S. reports showed bookings for durable goods climbed more than projected and fewer Americans than forecast filed first-time unemployment claims. Profits at industrial companies in China fell at a slower rate than previous months.

Oil for September delivery rose as much as 30 cents to $89.69 a barrel in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange and was at $89.63. The contract climbed 0.5 percent on 26 July to $89.39, the highest close since July 20. Prices are down 1.8 percent this week and 9.3 percent lower this year.

Brent crude for September settlement was up 50 cents to $105.76 a barrel on the London-based ICE Futures Europe exchange. The European benchmark’s premium to West Texas Intermediate was at $16.05, the widest since May 28 and up from $15.87 on 26 July.

Euro Pledge

Oil in New York has long-term technical resistance at $89.83 a barrel. On the weekly chart, that’s the 50 percent Fibonacci retracement of the drop to $32.40 in December 2008 from an intraday record high of $147.27 in July that year. Sell orders tend to be clustered near chart-resistance levels.

Financial markets surged on speculation the ECB will act to lower Spanish borrowing costs after yields on the nation’s bonds rose to levels that prompted bailouts for Greece, Portugal and Ireland. The ECB started buying Spanish and Italian debt in August last year as part of its bond-purchase program. The ECB suspended the program in March.

Oil may decline next week on speculation that central banks will take insufficient steps to bolster economic growth.

Durable Goods

Orders for durable goods, those meant to last at least three years, rose 1.6 percent in June, the second monthly gain, a report from the Commerce Department showed on 26 July. First-time applications for jobless benefits fell 35,000 in the week ended July 21 to 353,000, Labor Department figures showed.

Chinese industrial companies’ profits in June fell 1.7 percent from a year earlier to 467.2 billion yuan ($73 billion), the National Bureau of Statistics said on its website on 27 July. That drop was smaller than declines of 5.3 percent in May and 2.2 percent in April.

Iran’s deputy chief nuclear negotiator said his meeting with a European Union official that aimed to establish common ground for another round of talks on the country’s atomic program was “positive.”