Only the IPhone 18 can use TSMC’S 2NM Manufacturing
Process Chip
·
TSMC’s 2nm process will arrive in
2026
We are currently at the iPhone 13 series, so why should we be
talking about the iPhone 18? At the earliest, the iPhone 18 will arrive in five
years’ time. So, is it not way too early to talk about the iPhone 18? Well, we
are not talking in terms of its features or anything. We are talking in terms
of the manufacturing process of its chip. After entering the 10nm node, the
semiconductor process is approaching the limit step by step. TSMC plans to
mass-produce the 3nm process in the second half of this year, but it will take
a few years for the 2nm process in the future. According to recent reports,
TSMC’s 2nm process will arrive in 2026 and at this time, we will be talking
about the iPhone 18.
At
last week’s earnings meeting, TSMC CEO Wei Zhejia
responded to the progress of the new process. He claims that the company’s 2nm
manufacturing process is in development. TSMC is also confident that it will
still maintain a leading position on the 2nm node. As for the mass production
time point of the 2nm process, TSMC claims that the process will enter trial
production in 2024. Furthermore, mass production of this process will begin in
2025. The mass production of this process will take place in the second half of
2025 or even at the end of the year.
Judging
from TSMC’s position, the 2nm process will not really enter the production
stage until at least the second half of 2025. Apple will definitely not catch
up in 2025, and it will not be possible to see an Apple 2nm device in 2025. At
the earliest, the first Apple device with a 2nm chip will arrive in 2026. This
is also the speculated launch date for the iPhone 18 if all goes according to
schedule. This also means that the iPhone 14, 15, 16 and 17 series will only
use chips built with the 4nm and 3nm manufacturing processes.
Unlike
Samsung’s aggressive use of GAA transistors at the 3nm node, TSMC
will only use GAA transistors at the 2nm node. The new technology still brings
a lot of challenges, resulting in a few years for mass production of the 2nm
process. In addition, Intel’s 20A and 18A processes will also use GAA
transistor technology, targeting TSMC Samsung’s GAA process.
The
5nm manufacturing process is currently a significant improvement from 7nm
chips. However, it appears that the next significant improvement will be in the
2nm process.