Yen Slides Past Key 150 Level
Japanese policymakers
made fresh threats of intervention on Thursday after the yen tumbled past the
key psychological level of 150 to the dollar, keeping investors on high alert
in case Tokyo steps into markets again to support the fragile currency.
After the yen's first
break beyond the symbolic mark since 1990, top currency diplomat Masato Kanda
told reporters that authorities were "always ready to take necessary
action as excessive volatility has become increasingly unacceptable."
Kanda, vice finance
minister for international affairs, said he will not comment on whether Japan
was intervening now or have stepped into the currency market earlier on
Thursday.
The breach of the
closely watched level heightens pressure for Tokyo to step into the currency
market again to rein in the yen's relentless decline, which is adding to the
country's already swelling import bill.
It also puts the Bank
of Japan (BOJ) in the spotlight ahead of a policy meeting next week, when it is
widely expected to maintain its ultra-low interest rates that are blamed for
pushing down the yen.
Japanese Finance
Minister Shunichi Suzuki also told reporters after the yen's latest slide that
he will "take decisive action" against excessive, sharp yen moves.
"We cannot
tolerate excessive, rapid currency market moves driven by speculative
action," Suzuki said. "We will continue to watch currency moves
meticulously and with a sense of urgency," he said. Suzuki said he won't
comment on specific yen levels.
The yen's break of
150 against the dollar took it to its weakest level since August 1990. It last
traded at 149.770.
Long Slide
The dollar has surged
some 30% against the yen this year, despite Japan spending up to a record 2.8
trillion yen ($19.7 billion) intervening in the foreign exchange market in September
to support its currency.
"It's a big
psychological level that could trigger intervention ... people have been
anticipating intervention for a while," Moh Siong Sum, currency strategist at Bank of Singapore, said
of the 150 to the dollar threshold.
"People are
going to look over their shoulders for a while and see whether there's any
action (intervention) or not. If not, they're going to push it further, higher.
That's how the market goes. The next resistance I see would be around the 153
level."
The BOJ, for its
part, ramped up efforts to defend its 0% bond yield cap earlier on Thursday
with offers of emergency bond buying. Its dovish governor, Haruhiko Kuroda, has
repeatedly ruled out the chance of raising the bank's ultra-low rates to
moderate the yen's downtrend.
The central bank's
step underscores the dilemma Tokyo faces in trying to contain unwelcome yen
falls, without resorting to interest rate hikes that could derail Japan's
fragile recovery.
The Ministry of
Finance's dollar-selling, yen-buying intervention last month was the first time authorities had acted in the markets to prop up
the yen since 1998.
Japanese policymakers
have signalled that they were watching the speed of yen moves, rather than
targeting a specific level, in deciding whether to intervene.
While market worries
about intervention have slowed the pace of yen falls, analysts expect the
currency to remain on a downtrend as long as the BOJ remains a dovish outlier
among a global wave of central banks hiking rates, including the U.S. Federal
Reserve.
"With the Fed
still in tightening mode and interest rates certain to be raised further,
versus the BoJ continuing to pursue a completely
opposite ultra loose monetary policy ... the dollar
was always going to continue its appreciation against the yen," said
Stuart Cole, head macro economist at Equiti Capital
in London.
"I think there
are too many supply-side issues that need to be overcome and so far there are very few signs that Japan is serious about
tackling them. So, the ultra-loose monetary stance looks set to continue
indefinitely."
The BOJ faces renewed
challenges in keeping long-term interest rates stably low with its policy
dubbed yield curve control (YCC), under which it pumps money aggressively to
cap the 10-year bond yield around 0%.
The central bank
conducted emergency bond-buying operations on Thursday, as rising global yields
pushed the 10-year Japanese government bond (JGB) yield above its implicit
0.25% cap for the second straight day.
Once welcomed for the
competitive boost it gives exports, the weak yen has become a headache for
policymakers as it inflates the costs of already expensive imported fuel and
raw materials, putting more pressure on businesses and households.
($1 = 149.8700 yen)