Brent Falls to $92 as Markets Turn Choppy

·         Oil prices fluctuated after the United States and Iran exchanged attacks for a second consecutive day, raising fears of a wider regional conflict.

·         The U.S. struck multiple targets in Iran, while Iran claimed retaliatory attacks on U.S. bases in Kuwait and Bahrain.

·         Despite escalating tensions, oil markets have shown a relatively muted reaction so far.

Oil Price Movement

·         Brent crude rose sharply initially but later eased, trading between $92–93 per barrel.

·         West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude traded slightly lower at just under $90 per barrel.

·         Markets remain focused on risks to shipping through the Strait of Hormuz, which carries nearly one-fifth of global oil supplies.

Stock Market Response

·         U.S. stock futures indicated gains despite geopolitical tensions.

·         Asian markets were largely stable, with modest gains in Japan and South Korea and a slight decline in Taiwan.

·         European equities advanced, with the STOXX Europe 600 rising about 0.5%.

Fuel Prices

·         U.S. gasoline prices declined slightly to an average of $4.13 per gallon.

·         Diesel prices fell to $5.28 per gallon, though they remain significantly higher than before the conflict.

·         Retail fuel prices generally lag changes in crude oil prices by several days.

Inflation Concerns

·         Rising energy costs are increasing inflationary pressures globally.

·         Diane Swonk of KPMG warned that inflation risks are becoming more entrenched and may require tighter monetary policy.

·         The U.S. Federal Reserve is expected to face growing pressure to raise interest rates later in 2026 despite political calls for rate cuts.

·         The European Central Bank was expected to become the first major central bank to raise interest rates since the Iran conflict began.

Significance

·         The conflict highlights the vulnerability of global energy markets to geopolitical tensions in the Gulf region.

·         Disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz could significantly impact global oil supply, inflation, shipping costs, and monetary policy decisions worldwide.

 

[ABS News Service/11.06.2026]

Oil prices were volatile on Thursday (11.06.2026) after the United States and Iran exchanged fire for a second straight day, heightening fears that the two countries could slide back into broader conflict.

The United States said it had struck multiple targets across Iran after President Trump vowed to maintain military pressure because negotiations with Iranian leaders over its nuclear program were moving too slowly. Iran said it retaliated with two waves of attacks on targets at U.S. bases in Kuwait and Bahrain, though there was no immediate confirmation of the strikes.

Despite the escalating tensions, oil markets had remained relatively subdued in recent days, showing little reaction since the downing of a U.S. Army Apache helicopter near the Strait of Hormuz on Monday.

Oil prices seesaw.

·         The price of Brent crude, the global benchmark for oil, rose sharply in early trading before moderating, trading down by less than 1 percent, to between $92 and $93 a barrel.

·         West Texas Intermediate crude, the U.S. benchmark, followed a similar pattern, trading down slightly, to just under $90 a barrel.

·         Investors and analysts are focused on the continued disruption to shipping in the Strait of Hormuz, the narrow waterway between Iran and Oman that is a vital trading route for oil and natural gas that normally carries as much as one-fifth of the world’s oil supply.

Stocks are mixed.

·         Futures on the S&P 500 pointed to a gain when stocks resume trading in the United States on Thursday.

·         Stocks in Asia, where countries import vast quantities of oil and gas, were little changed at the end of the trading day, with shares in Taiwan posting a small decline while stocks in Japan and South Korea recorded modest gains.

·         In Europe, stocks rose. The Stoxx 600, a broad index that tracks the region’s largest companies, gained about half a percent in early trading.

Gasoline prices pull back.

·         U.S. gasoline prices edged lower on Thursday to a U.S. national average of $4.13 a gallon, according to the AAA motor club. Gas prices have fallen 39 percent since the war began.

·         Gas prices don’t move in lock step with crude, usually trailing increases or drops by a few days.

·         The average price of diesel dropped to $5.28 on Thursday but is up 40 percent since the start of the war.

What they are saying: Inflation is ‘taking on a life of its own.’

·         Diane Swonk, the chief economist at KPMG US, warned that accelerating inflation related to the war in Iran has put the Federal Reserve, which is charged with keeping prices in check, in a difficult spot. “Delaying rate hikes is riskier today than it was as the economy emerged from the pandemic,” she wrote. “Inflation has lingered longer and shows signs of taking on a life of its own.”

·         “We are now five years into the post-pandemic bout of inflation,” she noted. “The Federal Reserve did not cause all of it, but it is the institution charged with bringing it down.” Despite the political pressure on Kevin Warsh, who recently took over as Fed chair, to cut interest rates, Ms. Swonk expects officials at the central bank to be convinced to raise rates later this year.

·         The European Central Bank was expected to raise rates on Thursday (11.06.2026), making it the first major central bank to do so since the start of the Iran war.