Fragile US-Iran Cease-Fire Keeps Oil High and Markets Volatile

·         President Donald Trump said the US-Iran cease-fire is on “massive life support” after rejecting Iran’s latest proposal to end the conflict and reopen the Strait of Hormuz.

·         Investors reacted cautiously as stalled peace talks increased uncertainty in global markets.

Oil Prices Rise Again

·         Brent crude, the global oil benchmark, rose more than 1% to above US$105 per barrel.

·         West Texas Intermediate (WTI), the US benchmark, climbed 2% to nearly US$100 per barrel.

·         Oil prices remain elevated because the Strait of Hormuz handles nearly one-fifth of global crude oil shipments, making any disruption a major risk to energy markets.

Global Stock Markets Weaken

·         Futures tied to the S&P 500 pointed to a lower opening for US markets.

·         European markets declined:

o    the STOXX Europe 600 fell about 1%,

o    Germany’s DAX also slipped around 1%,

o    Britain’s FTSE 100 edged lower.

·         In South Korea, the Kospi index dropped more than 2%, partly due to concerns over possible taxation of artificial intelligence profits.

Fuel Prices Remain Elevated

·         According to AAA:

o    the US national average gasoline price dipped two cents to US$4.50 per gallon,

o    but prices are still 51% higher since the conflict began.

·         Diesel prices remained steady at US$5.64 per gallon, roughly 50% above pre-conflict levels.

·         Analysts noted that retail fuel prices usually lag behind changes in crude oil prices by several days.

Inflation Concerns Grow

·         Investors are closely watching upcoming US inflation data for signs of how the Iran conflict and rising energy costs are affecting consumer prices and the broader economy.

 

[ABS News Service/12.05.2026]

President Trump has declared the American cease-fire with Iran is on “life support,” and investors are taking a cautious approach as the lack of progress in peace talks weighs on the markets.

Oil prices edged higher and global stock markets cooled on Tuesday as investors wavered between optimism and despair over the stalled peace talks between the United States and Iran.

President Trump said on Monday that the cease-fire was “on massive life support” after rejecting the latest Iranian offer to end the war and reopen the Strait of Hormuz, the vital waterway through which nearly a fifth of the world’s crude oil is usually carried on cargo ships.

U.S. inflation data released later in the day will offer a gauge of how the war is affecting prices for Americans.

Oil prices climb again.

·         The price of Brent crude, the global benchmark for oil, rose more than 1 percent on Tuesday, climbing back above $105 a barrel.

·         West Texas Intermediate crude, the U.S. benchmark, rose 2 percent to just under $100 a barrel.

Stocks tumble on shaky cease-fire.

·         Futures trading on the S&P 500 indicates that the stock markets will open lower on Tuesday after edging higher on the day before.

·         Stocks in Europe slid. The Stoxx 600, a broad European index, and the DAX in Germany slipped about 1 percent. In Britain, where Keir Starmer is fighting for his premiership, the FTSE 100 edged lower.

·         In South Korea, the benchmark Kospi index, which has been setting record highs thanks to artificial intelligence investing, shed more than 2 percent after talk of a tax on A.I. profits.

Gas prices dip.

·         Gas prices fell two cents on Tuesday, to a national average of $4.50 for a gallon of regular, according to the AAA motor club. Despite the decline, drivers are still paying 51 percent more for gas since the conflict began.

·         Gas prices don’t move in lock step with changes in crude oil prices, usually trailing increases or drops by a few days.

·         The average price of diesel held steady at $5.64 on Tuesday, up 50 percent since the start of the war.