Middle East Escalation Pushes Oil to $110; U.S. Diesel Tops $6/Gallon

Prices for diesel fuel jumped to a new high over mounting fears that fighting in the Middle East could further threaten oil supplies.

·         Oil prices surge: Fears of further Middle East escalation and disruption to energy supplies briefly pushed crude oil to $110/barrel on Friday.

·         Brent crude: The international benchmark surged before easing to around $106/barrel.

·         WTI crude: The U.S. benchmark was trading near $101/barrel.

·         Red Sea threat widens: Reports that the Houthi militia seized a critical port on the Red Sea have added another threat to global shipping and energy supplies.

·         Strait of Hormuz disruption: Iran has effectively blocked most shipping through the Strait of Hormuz, through which around 20% of global crude oil normally passes.

·         Limited tanker movement: With assistance from the U.S. Navy, some tankers have managed to transit Hormuz, but Iran has indicated it may tighten its control over the waterway.

·         Bab al-Mandab also affected: Iranian-backed Houthis in Yemen have restricted tanker traffic through the Bab al-Mandab Strait, another major oil-shipping route and an alternative route used by Saudi Arabia.

·         Diesel prices hit record pressure: U.S. average diesel prices climbed to $6.06/gallon, about 60% higher than before the U.S.-Israel attack on Iran on 28 February.

·         Gasoline prices: The U.S. national average reached $4.30/gallon, up 44% since the war began.

·         Refineries increase output: Refineries in the U.S., Europe, Africa and Asia are increasing production of diesel, gasoline and other fuels to compensate for lost Middle Eastern and Russian supplies.

·         Supply still insufficient: Despite higher refinery production, energy demand continues to exceed supply, keeping fuel prices elevated.

·         Impact on transport and agriculture: Higher diesel prices are increasing operating costs for trucking companies, farmers and businesses using heavy machinery.

·         Food inflation risk: Fuel can account for up to 30% of U.S. food costs, raising the risk that sustained energy-price increases will eventually be passed on to consumers.

·         Heating costs: U.S. households using heating oil are becoming increasingly concerned about higher bills as winter approaches.

·         Cost pass-through likely: Farmers and trucking companies have so far absorbed much of the additional fuel cost, but a prolonged war could force them to pass increasingly more of the increase to consumers.

·         Stock-market reaction: Asian markets were mostly lower, with Japan’s Nikkei 225 and South Korea’s KOSPI falling nearly 2%, reflecting concerns among major energy-importing economies.

Key Takeaway

The simultaneous disruption of Hormuz and Bab al-Mandab, combined with attacks affecting Russian refinery capacity, is tightening global fuel supplies. If the conflict persists, the resulting oil, diesel and gasoline price shock could spread into transportation, agriculture, food prices and broader inflation worldwide.

 

[ABS News Service/11.09.2026]

Mounting fears in the markets that clashes in the Middle East could escalate and further disrupt energy supplies briefly pushed the price of oil to $110 a barrel on Friday, while U.S. diesel rose above $6 a gallon.

Concerns over oil supplies, already heightened by the U.S. war against Iran, broadened this week with reports that the Houthi militia had seized a critical port on the Red Sea, presenting a new threat to shipping in the area.

The price of Brent crude oil, the international benchmark, surged before easing to about $106 a barrel, and West Texas Intermediate crude, the U.S. standard, was trading at nearly $101 a barrel.

The average price of a gallon of diesel fuel jumped to $6.06, according to the AAA motor club, a 60 percent rise since the United States and Israel attacked Iran on Feb. 28. In response, Iran has effectively blocked most ships from passing through the Strait of Hormuz, the narrow waterway between the Persian Gulf and the Gulf of Oman. During normal times, about a fifth of the world’s crude oil flows through the strait.

With assistance from the U.S. Navy, a few tankers have been able to get through, but Iran has signaled in recent days that it was willing to be more aggressive in exerting control over the strait.

U.S., European, African and Asian oil refineries have increased production of diesel, gasoline and other fuels to make up for the loss of supplies from the Middle East and Russia, where refineries have come under attack by Ukraine.

But demand for energy is still outstripping supply. As a result, governments, businesses and farmers are having to pay more for the diesel they need to run trucks, farm machinery and other heavy equipment. And homeowners who use heating oil, which is similar to diesel, are growing concerned about their monthly bills as winter nears.

Fuel accounts for as much of 30 percent of food costs in the United States, said Kate Gordon, a former senior adviser in the Department of Energy and now the chief executive of California Forward, a nonprofit business group.

“So far, farmers and trucking companies have been absorbing a lot of this cost increase,” she said, “but with the war continuing on with no end in sight, they are going to pass through more and more of the price jump to consumers.”

Oil remains elevated

·         The price of Brent crude, which has been edging higher all week, was trading at about $106 a barrel.

·         West Texas Intermediate crude, the U.S. benchmark, was around $101 a barrel.

·         Investors and analysts are focused on the continued disruption to shipping in the Strait of Hormuz. The Iranian-backed Houthi militia in Yemen have also restricted tanker traffic in the Bab al-Mandab Strait at the southern end of the Red Sea, which Saudi Arabia has used as an alternative to the Strait of Hormuz.

Stocks are mixed

·         Futures on the S&P 500 pointed to an increase when stocks resume trading in the United States on Friday.

·         Stocks in Asia, where countries import vast quantities of oil and gas, were mostly lower. Japan’s Nikkei 225 and South Korea’s benchmark KOSPI fell nearly 2 percent.

Gasoline prices rise

·         The national average for gas prices rose to $4.30 a gallon, according to AAA. The price has risen 44 percent since the war began.

·         Gas prices don’t move in lock step with crude, usually trailing increases or drops by a few days.