Oil Rises to $10 as US-Iran Talks Stall, Markets React

Oil Prices

·         Brent crude rose over 3% to $108/barrel.

·         WTI crude climbed above $95/barrel.

·         Shipping risks:

o    Strait of Hormuz remains unsafe.

o    Houthi militia advances threaten Red Sea shipments.

o    Saudi East-West pipeline temporarily shut after drone attack.

·         Prices briefly eased last week when Saudi exports increased with U.S. Navy support.

Market Impact

·         Bond yields:

o    10-year Treasury above 5.2%, 30-year above 5.5% → borrowing costs rise.

·         Stocks:

o    U.S. futures: S&P 500 down 0.5%.

o    Asia: China -2%, South Korea -2.7%, Hong Kong +0.5%.

o    Europe: Stoxx 600 up <0.5%.

Fuel Prices

·         Gasoline: steady at $4.48/gallon (up 50% since war began).

·         Diesel: $6.45/gallon, up 70% since war’s start.

·         Gas prices usually lag crude price changes.

Political Context

·         Trump rejected Iran’s cease-fire proposal to reopen Strait of Hormuz, calling it “unacceptable.”

·         Iran’s FM Abbas Araghchi said Trump’s rejection was only a “first reaction.”

·         Rising energy costs ahead of U.S. midterms frustrate voters; some Republicans call for war’s end.

 

[ABS News Service/28.09.2026]

Oil prices jumped on Monday (28.09.2026) amid signs that Iran and the United States remain far apart in negotiating a resumption of energy from the Persian Gulf.

Bond yields, which shot up last week, stayed at decades-high levels. The 10-year Treasury yield, which underpins corporate and consumer borrowing costs, was above 5.2 percent. The 30-year yield was above 5.5 percent. Higher yields make borrowing more expensive. Stocks around the world were mostly lower on Monday.

On Saturday, President Trump publicly rejected a cease-fire proposal offered by Iran last week to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, calling it “unacceptable.” Abbas Araghchi, Iran’s foreign minister, called Mr. Trump’s rejection a “first reaction” and said he awaited “definitive news to be conveyed through intermediaries.”

The fighting has driven up energy prices ahead of the midterm elections, frustrating voters who have been dealing with the rising cost of living. A growing number of Republicans are speaking out against the war, with some calling for its immediate end.

Oil prices rise.

·         The price of Brent crude, the global benchmark for oil, rose more than 3 percent to about $108 a barrel.

·         West Texas Intermediate crude, the U.S. benchmark, was trading over $95 a barrel.

·         Ship operators in the Persian Gulf remain wary of sending vessels through the Strait of Hormuz, the vital waterway between Iran and Oman. Advances by the Iranian-backed Houthi militia in Yemen have threatened oil shipments through the Red Sea, an alternative route to the Persian Gulf used by Saudi Arabia to get oil out to global markets. Saudi authorities had to temporarily shut the critical East-West pipeline that shuttles oil from the Persian Gulf to the Red Sea, blaming a drone attack by an Iranian-backed Iraqi militia.

·         The price of Brent crude briefly dropped below $100 a barrel last week on signs that Saudi Arabia had increased its exports through the Strait of Hormuz with help from the U.S. Navy. There were also reports that the Saudis were close to reopening the East-West pipeline.

Stocks dip.

·         Futures on the S&P 500 pointed to a 0.5 percent decline when stocks resume trading in the United States on Monday.

·         Stocks in Asia were mostly down. In mainland China, stocks tumbled about 2 percent, and the KOSPI in South Korea fell 2.7 percent. The only index to gain was the Hang Seng Stock Index in Hong Kong, which rose 0.5 percent.

·         In Europe, the Stoxx 600, a broad index that tracks the region’s largest companies, was up less than half a percent.

Gasoline prices are steady.

·         Gas prices were unchanged on Monday, at a national average of about $4.48 a gallon, according to the AAA motor club. Prices have increased significantly since the war began, raising the cost for drivers by more than 50 percent.

·         Gas prices don’t move in lock step with crude, usually trailing increases or decreases by a few days.

·         The average price of diesel was $6.45 on Monday, up more than 70 percent since the start of the war.